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Popularity contest

Fiorina and Clinton going in opposite directions in latest 2016 polls

By WITW Staff on October 20, 2015

The two women running for the nomination of their respective political parties have seen their ups and downs in the polls. When Democrat Hillary Clinton launched her campaign in April, she was the frontrunner — by far. And she’s never lost that frontrunner status in national polls, but in New Hampshire, the first state to hold a primary, Clinton fell well behind U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders in a recent poll. And her lead in national polls shrank dramatically amid the controversy over her private email server, and as Joe Biden has explored jumping into the race. Meanwhile, things have been drastically different for Republican Carly Fiorina. When Fiorina launched her campaign in May, she barely registered in national polls. Two months later, little had changed for the former Hewlett-Packard CEO. Her poll numbers were so low that she didn’t qualify for the main event at the first GOP debate in early August. But at the undercard debate that preceded the main event, she outshined the other six candidates at the “kids’ table” and saw a tremendous bounce in the polls immediately afterwards. Fiorina deftly parlayed those improved poll numbers into a spot in the main event at the second GOP debate, following a PR feud with CNN, and after a rousing performance in that event, rocketed to third place, just behind Ben Carson and Donald Trump in the polls.

Two new national polls released on Tuesday show the fickle winds of change that can drive a candidate right out of the race or sweep a candidate to the nomination are blowing again. In an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, Hillary Clinton has made a considerable comeback, improving seven points over September’s poll, likely bolstered by her performance in the first Democratic debate, and widened her lead on Sanders and Biden. A new ABC News/Washington Post poll shows an even greater rally for Clinton as she’s improved some 12 points over last month. In that poll, Clinton has 49 percent of support, compared with 29 percent for Sanders and a paltry 15 percent for Biden. And a new poll from New Hampshire released on Wednesday showed that Clinton had reclaimed first place in the Granite State, topping Bernie Sanders with 38 percent support to the senator’s 34 percent.

On the Republican side, Fiorina’s poll numbers have gone into total free fall, the polls show. A CNN/ORC poll released on Tuesday showed her support had plummeted to just four percent, a staggering 11-point decline in just one month. Things were a little better for Fiorina in the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. In that survey she’s fallen to seven percent support, good enough for sixth place. Fiorina also plunged to sixth place in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll released Wednesday with just three percent of support.

Read the full story at The Huffington Post and Politico.


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