A new study has put a dent in the conventional idea that the longer people wait to get married, the less likely they are to get divorced. Nicholas Wolfinger, a sociologist at the University of Utah, used data from the National Survey of Family Growth and found that while today divorce risk declines for people who wait until their late 20s and early 30s to get married, it rises again for those who only tie the knot in their late 30s. According to his data analysis for people getting married before age 32, each additional year of age at marriage reduces the odds of divorce by 11 percent, but after that the odds of divorce increase by five percent per year. Slate calls it the “Goldilocks theory” of marriage: getting married too early is risky, but so is getting married too late.
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